Tomorrow the biggest college basketball game of the season to date will be played. #3 Kansas is at #1 Baylor. See top 25 here. The game tips at 12:00 p EST. The current sportsbook line is Baylor -2 and the total is 129.5

The line was actually put out at a few shops early with Kansas -2 and was quickly bet the other way. All year bettors have been weary of Baylor but now it seems as though they have become believers. This because Baylor has been a covering machine. They are 24-1 SU and 17-8 ATS this season. Baylor scores 75 PPG and allows 60.

Kansas is no slouch. The #3 ranked Jayhawks at 23-3 SU and 16-10 ATS. They score 72 PPH and allow 58 PPG. Their scoring is decent but they are getting it done with defense.

Head to head Kansas is 8-2 SU but just 4-5-1 ATS against the Bears. In fact, at one sportsbook we check in on, 90% of their bets are on Kansas. I am sure their bettors know about this 8-2 stretch. Baylor is 5-2-1 ATS vs Kansas in their last 8.

Trends

Baylor is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baylor’s last 7 games

Baylor is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas

Verdict

Looking at the trends they tend to suggest Baylor and Under. But I think the game will likely go over the measly 129.5 they put on the board. This is Baylor’s real chance to shine and prove that they belong. I will take Baylor and hope they continue their outstanding play. I see no reason to think they will lose this one.