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NFL Week 15 Free Picks

December 14, 2018
SF QB 2018 Free Pick

In last’s week’s article of this series, we put out two picks and both covered. We are hoping to repeat the success of that article here. Below you will find two brief previews and picks for NFL games played in week 15, of the 2018 season.

Buffalo vs Detroit

This game has no playoff significance but I guarantee you both teams will be playing hard. Both rosters are loaded with proud players and guys trying to strengthen their highlight reel for impending contract negotiations.

Detroit comes in with a 5-9 overall record and is 7-6 against the spread. They score 20 PPG on offense but allow 24 PPG. They just put a pretty good beating on Arizona last weekend to the tune of 17-3 final score. But, they have lost three of their last five games.

Buffalo is coming off of two straight losses: a last second loss at Miami, a game which they should have won, and a tight loss to hated rival NY Jets. Buffalo is 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS.

Head to head its not even close. Buffalo owns the Lions. They are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. Of course, that stretches back to 1997 which makes somehow less of a stat because of the elapsed time.

Trends

Both teams are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.

I came into this matchup liking Buffalo but after studying the numbers the edge belongs to Detroit. I would take Detroit plus the 2.5 points in this matchup. Bet this pick at one of the web’s top sportsbooks

 

San Francisco vs Seattle

Seattle is 3.5 point favorites on the road at San Francisco. Both teams are coming off big wins last week. Seattle smashed Minnesota and Frisco beat Denver.

Seattle comes into the game on a four game win streak and is one of the hotter teams in the NFL. They are also a very impressive 8-3-2 against the spread. They score 26 PPG and allow 20. Their ATS record away is 4-2-1. They play well on the road. Seattle is a running team. They average 153 YPG rushing and just 193 passing.

The 49ers are 3-10 and 4-9 ATS. They score 21 PPG and allow 26. Basically the opposite of Seattle’s numbers. The Niners are 2-4 ATS at home. They pass for 239 yards and rush for 125 ypg.

For the Seahawks to beat the Niners, QB Russel Wilson will have to pass for over 200 yards and have at least a couple of big runs for firs downs. We can see that happening. He may even score a rushing TD.

Trends

Seattle is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco.
Seattle is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing San Francisco.
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.

Looking over the stats and the cast of players I cannot help but to pick the Seahawks here. It will probably be a low scoring hard fought affair with Seattle pulling out the win at the end. The total is listed at 44.5 points. I would take the under in this match-up. The line makes me a little nervous so I am suggesting a moneyline play on Seattle -190. Bet this pick at one of the web’s top sportsbooks

 

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