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Wolfsburg vs. Bayern Munich Preview

June 24, 2020
Soccer match up Wolfsburg vs. Bayern Munich Preview

The Bundesliga ends next week! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have an exciting contest on Saturday, when Wolfsburg hosts Bayern Munich.

Bayern Munich already claimed their eight straight Bundesliga title while Wolfsburg is in sixth place in the standings with 49 points in 33 games, looking to keep a spot in Europa League qualification. Hoffenheim also has 49 points so there’s a lot at stake for Wolfsburg here.

Wolfburg is coming off a 4-1 road win against Schalke 04 last Saturday while Bayern Munich beat SC Freiburg 3-1 at home, also on Saturday.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is in this matchup.

Betting Odds By Scoresandstats

Team to Win (Regular Time)

Wolfsburg: +297
Bayern Munich: -126
Draw: +322

Spread

Wolfsburg: +¾ (-114)
Bayern Munich: -¾ (-102)

Total

Over 3.5 (-115)
Under 3.5 (-103)

Key Points to Consider

Last 6:

Wolfsburg, coming off a 4-1 road win against Schalke 04, have three wins, two losses and one draw in their last six overall. Bayern Munich, coming off a 3-1 home win against SC Freiburg, have six wins, zero losses and zero draws in their last six overall.

Momentum: Bayern Munich has been on an upward trend — winning their last 11 games in the Bundesliga.

Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Bundesliga action on December 21, 2019 and Bayern Munich won 2-0.

Projected Leaders

Simulations I have run project Robert Lewandowski, João Victor, Wout Weghorst, Serge Gnabry, Leon Goretzka and Thomas Müller as the players most likely to score (four of these six players are from Bayern Munich).

There is a 23.9 percent chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw, Bayern Munich, at 52.0 percent, are heavy favorites to beat Wolfsburg, who have just a 24.2 percent chance to win at home.

The leading scorer for Bayern Munich is Robert Lewandowski with a 59 percent chance of getting one or more goals. When he has at least one goal Bayern Munich has a 65 percent chance to win. I like the Over here, Bayern Munich wants to end the season on a high note and Wolfsburg desperately needs a win. Expect some fireworks.

Soccer Pick: Over 3.5 (-115) By Realbookies.com

More Pay Per Head tips:
Real Bookies’ Mobile-Friendly Betting System
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