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NFL Week 1 Trends to Consider

August 11, 2015

Week 1 in the NFL is not far away. Four weeks from Thursday the NFL kicks off its 2015 regular season. There are many trends and historical statistics for NFL bettors to use to help them make decisions on what and who to bet on.

Week 1 has its trends as well. For example, over the past 15 seasons, the runner up in the Super Bowl the previous year is 2-13 ATS in Week 1. In addition, combined points in those 15 games have cashed on the UNDER 10 times.

The thought by many a sport fan is that the losing team from the Super Bowl is still nursing a hangover or heartbreak after coming up short in the sport’s biggest game.

However, it must also be mentioned that these same runner-ups in the Super Bowl do not necessarily lose their game in Week 1 straight up, but simply fail to cover the point spread.

Having said all this, the Seattle Seahawks come to mind for Week 1, as they are the poor runner-ups from last season’s Super Bowl.

This season the Seahawks open on the road as 4 ½-point chalk against the St. Louis Rams. Bettors have already bet down that spread to Seattle -3 on the majority of offshore sportsbooks.

Winners of Super Bowls are 19-2 SU and 12-9 ATS for season openers the next season. New England the defending champions are 3-point chalk against Pittsburgh at home. Of course, the line opened with the Patriots -6, but has since plunged to -3 as the four-game suspension of Tom Brady the star quarterback for New England was upheld.

However, the case is under arbitration in a federal court and a chance remains that Brady will play. In addition, Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS over its past six seasons in Week 1.

Here are a few more trends to look at.

  • Atlanta is 12-5 ATS over its past 17 season openers.
  • Indianapolis is 1-6 ATS over its past 7 season openers.
  • Detroit is 9-3 ATS in its past 12 season openers.