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Men’s Olympic Basketball: U.S. heavily favored, Spain has Solid Value

Scott Morris | August 6, 2016

The Men’s Basketball competition in the Rio Olympics has the U.S. going for another gold medal.

The Rio Summer Olympics basketball competition begins on Saturday August 6. Three games will be played on Saturday with one being the Games’ prohibitive favorite the United States playing China.

The first part of the competition has two groups of six teams, with the four top teams from each of the groups advancing to the quarterfinals.

The current top fix future odds are:

  1. USA -1600
  2. Spain +1000
  3. France +1400
  4. Serbia +2200
  5. Brazil +2800

The U.S. is heavily favored to win its group. In addition, to the U.S. the group has Serbia and France. The three teams finished 1, 2 and 3 respectively in the FIBA World Cup of 2015.

Over the last two weeks, the odds for the U.S. to win the gold have gone to -1600 from -1200. The biggest odds movement was in the Serbs. Serbia was initially sitting at +3300, but has been lowered to +2200.

France and Serbia will likely do battle to place second in this group.

The second group is deep with each of the six teams being ranked No. 14 or better in the FIBA world rankings. Spain is No. 2, Lithuania No. 3, Argentina No. 4, Brazil No. 9, Australia No. 11, Croatia No. 12 and China No. 14.

Brazil saw its odds lengthened to +2800 from +2200 this week.

The U.S. is on a winning streak of 65 games entering this tournament including 45 consecutive wins in tournaments that are FIBA sanctioned and 18 straight exhibition wins.

The U.S. is going after its third straight gold medal.

However, if any team is capable of upsetting the U.S. it would be Spain. The Spaniards have lost the past two Gold Medal Games versus the U.S.

Spain has NBA stars Pau Gasol, Ricky Rubio and Jose Calderon.

Spain has solid value at +1000 to win the gold.

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AP Top 25 College Football Poll

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AP TeamW/LSeason StartLive Odds
1Ohio State1-0+675+575
2Penn State1-0+700+600
3LSU1-0+1200+800
4Georgia1-0+650+650
5Miami FL1-0+2800+1200
6Oregon2-0+1200+1600
7Texas0-1+600+700
8Clemson0-1+850+1600
9Notre Dame0-1+1000+1800
10South Carolina1-0+6600+6600
11Illinois1-0+15000+15000
12Arizona St.1-0+12500+12500
13Florida1-0+3300+3300
14Florida State1-0+8000+6600
15Michigan1-0+3300+3300
16Iowa State2-0+20000+20000
17SMU1-0+10000+10000
18Oklahoma1-0+4000+2800
19Texas A&M1-0+3300+3300
20Ole Miss1-0+4000+4000
21Alabama0-1+900+1800
22Tennessee1-0+6600+8000
23Indiana1-0+12500+12500
24Texas Tech1-0+10000+12500
25Utah1-0+4000+8000