Free NCAAF Pick: Purdue at Iowa
Scott Morris | November 17, 2017
This Big Ten matchup boots at 3:30 pm EST. It is being played at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. The weather forecast is 43 degrees and rainy, a standard late fall midwestern day – Bad weather for picnics but perfect weather for football.
The current spread is Iowa -7.5 and the total is just 41 points. Both Iowa and Purdue come off pretty solid beatings last weekend. Iowa lost by 24 on the road at Wisconsin and Purdue lost at Northwestern 23-13. Purdue is 4-6 straight up and Iowa is 6-4. Both teams have a winning mark against the spread this season (Iowa is 5-4-1 & Purdue is 6-4).
Both Iowa and Purdue can run and pass effectively. You will see a balanced attack from both of these teams. There will probably be some turnovers. Purdue DB Josh Jackson has 7 picks this year and is a ball hawk. Iowa will need to game plan away from this young man.
How the Game Plays Out
Iowa eats a lot of clock and rushes the ball effectively and scores in the mid 20’s. Purdue plays tight. They make the plays when they need to be made and convert the 3rd and even some 4th downs. They keep it close and score about 20 points. But it is not enough to beat Iowa. Iowa wins by less than a TD and Purdue covers the spread. The OVER also busts in the fourth quarter.
