Can John Rothschild Convert Again In The Preakness?

Scott Morris | May 17, 2019

First some facts that may be useful for your handicapping.

Favorites have converted in the Preakness more than any other major. They’ve compiled an impressive winning rate of 51%.
This year’s edition has a record low number of Derby starters, with just four(4).
Six of the last seven winners had their final preps in either Arkansas (Ark. Derby) or California (Santa Anita Derby).

My four(4) top choices:

Improbable – Will likely be your favorite. Current Preakness odds

What I Like:

What I Question:

Although going 3/3 as a two year old, this colt hasn’t been as game this season.

Alwaysmining – Will be going for his seventh win in a row.

What I Like:

What I Question:
Most in here have raced in tougher conditions.

Win Win Win – Could surprise at longer odds.

What I Like:

Connections have acknowledged that he didn’t like the slop in last.
Addition of blinks could be a major help. He’s been zig zagging the final 8th of a mile in his dry track starts, while looking like he had more to give.

What I Question:

Although getting shuffled in the Derby and finishing better than others, he was never in the race.

Bourbon War – Worth a shot in a relatively wide open race at benevolent odds.

What I Like:

I’m willing to discount his Florida Derby start, because he seems to be a horse that likes to run into a faster pace.
He didn’t get it that day, but should with this field.
In addition, looks like he would have beaten “Code of Honor” in the Fountain of Youth, but ran out of track. Saturday’s race is an extra 1/8th mile.

What I Question:

Zero stakes wins.

To get Preakness and Weekend selections click here

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John Rothschild - sports handicapper Contributed by John Rothschild

(Recent articles at SI, ESPN, Bloomberg News, New York Sports Scene, USRacing)

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AP	Team	W/L	Season Start	Live Odds
1	Texas	0-0	+600	+550
2	Penn State	0-0	+700	+700
3	Ohio State	0-0	+675	+650
4	Clemson	0-0	+850	+850
5	Georgia	0-0	+650	+650
6	Notre Dame	0-0	+1000	+1000
7	Oregon	0-0	+1200	+1400
8	Alabama	0-0	+900	+900
9	LSU	0-0	+1200	+1200
10	Miami FL	0-0	+2800	+2500
11	Arizona St.	0-0	+12500	+12500
12	Illinois	0-0	+15000	+15000
13	South Carolina	0-0	+6600	+6600
14	Michigan	0-0	+3300	+3300
15	Florida	0-0	+3300	+3300
16	SMU	0-0	+10000	+10000
17	Kansas State	0-1	+10000	OFF
18	Oklahoma	0-0	+4000	+4000
19	Texas A&M	0-0	+3300	+3300
20	Indiana	0-0	+12500	+12500
21	Ole Miss	0-0	+4000	+4500
22	Iowa State	1-0	+20000	OFF
23	Texas Tech	0-0	+10000	+12500
24	Tennessee	0-0	+6600	+7500
25	Boise State	0-0	+25000	+15000

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