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Odds on Which NFL Coach Will Be Fired First

September 20, 2019
Odds of coach getting fired

We are a few weeks into the season and you can already feel the firing in the air. Teams and their fans do not have patience when it comes to losing. Firing the coach has almost become like pressing the “escape button”. If an owner fires a coach, he is signaling to the fans “yes, this sucks, I agree with you.”. But really, the coach doesn’t make the whole team. You have players, GM’s and sometimes even the ownership all chipping in to mold a team.

Rarely, if ever, did a coach firing turn a team around in the same year. But, firing a coach does usually lead to a better record the following year. It’s a move that states “out with the old” and sometimes the GM’s go out the door with them.

This year there have been some hot seats in the NFL. And there is none hotter that that of Jay Gruden, Head Coach of the Washington Redskins. Gruden started last year with a winning record and everything looked to be going the coach’s way. Then his starting QB Alex Smith had a severe injury, an injury that has kept him out of football to this very day. The Redskins tanked and now Jay is on the short odds list to be fired. And I happen to think that he will be the first to go. The Redskins are 0-2 and are underdogs on Monday Night when they face off against the Chicago Bears.

Here are the odds of which coach will be fired first:

Jay Gruden+333
Pat Shurmur+850
Matt Patricia+900
Bill O’Brien+1200
Dan Quinn+1200
Doug Marrone+1200
Jason Garrett+1500
Mike Zimmer+1500
Adam Gase+2000
Brian Flores+2000
Mike Tomlin+2000
Ron Rivera+2000
Kliff Kingsbury+2500
Sean McDermott+2500
Anthony Lynn+3000
Freddie Kitchens+3000
Mike Vrabel+3000
Kyle Shanahan+3500
Matt LaFleur+3500
Pete Carroll+4000
Vic Fangio+5000
Bruce Arians+5000
John Harbaugh+5000
Jon Gruden+5000
Zac Taylor+5000
Frank Reich+7500
Matt Nagy+7500
Sean Payton+10000
Andy Reid+10000
Doug Pederson+10000
Sean McVay+10000
Bill Belichick+15000