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Week 15 NFL Opening Lines and Early Leans

December 14, 2020
NFL week 15 opening point spreads

Every week we publish our own guestimated point spreads along side of the actual official point spreads released by top online sportsbooks. The purpose of that aspect is to squeeze any value out of the lines by betting early.

Last week our early leans went just 2-3 but the wins were ones which no one saw coming. We got Jax and Detroit correct. Unfortunately, we bought into the newfound San Fran hype, which btw still exists (as evidenced by the line this week SF at Dallas). We also thought that the Raiders would bounce back from their recent slump. Their defense just isn’t any good. We accept that now.

As this week’s matches shake out, just about every team will still be playing full force.  Teams don’t typically start sitting starters until week week 17.

MatchupOur GuessOfficial LineLean
LV vs SDLV -3LV -3NO
DEN vs BUFBUF -3.5BUF -6YES (DEN +6)
GB vs CAR GB -10GB -9NO
TEN vs DETTEN -10.5TEN -10NO
DAL vs SFDAL -2SF -3YES (DAL +3)
MIN vs CHIMIN -2.5MIN -3NO
ATL vs TBTB -5.5TB -5.5NO
IND vs HOUIND -8IND -7NO
WAS vs SEASEA -4.5SEA -5NO
MIA vs NEMIA -1.5MIA -2NO
BAL vs JAXBAL -115.5BAL -14NO
LAR vs NYJ LAR -20LAR -17YES (LAR -17)
ARZ vs PHIARZ -4.5ARZ -6NO
NO vs KCKC -4.5KC -4NO
NYG vs CLEVCLEV -5.5CLEV -4NO
PIT vs CINPIT -11.5PIT -13NO

There are only three early leans this week. Remember these lines most likely will change so if you like them, betting them now to lock in the value is probably a good idea.

 

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