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Trends Say You Should Bet These NFL Picks for Week 17

December 30, 2021
Ben and the Steelers vs Cleveland

The NFL is in its second to last week of regular season play. This is the time of year we all need to be paying attention to teams that need the win vs teams that don’t. And of course there needs to be a constant eye on the covid situation.

Last week our picks were affected by the covid problem. The Baltimore game in particular saw their entire QB and defense situation get upended. If covid strikes major players off the team you should disregard the pick.

With that said, here are the picks for this weekend. We have factored in the current covid situation and any playoff implications and only those games without any major conflicts are posted below.

NFL Trend Picks for Week 17 of 2021 Season

Tennessee vs Miami

Spread: Tennessee -4 at BetUS.com

Tennessee is playing well even after losing their star RB early in the season. QB Ryan Tannehill gets to square off against his old team to try to force them out of playoff contention.

Miami looked flat last week against a covid-hobbled Saints team but will need to pull out all the stops to get a win on the road against a good Titans team.

Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Miami is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Miami plus the points seems to be the play here.

 

Washington vs Philadelphia

Spread: Eagles -3 at BetUS.com

Washington Football Team is basically playing for pride in this one. They are 6-9 straight up and hope to help dash the Eagles chances of a post-season berth.

The Eagles are on a three game win streak and played well last week when they defeated the Giants in a 34-10 romp.

Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games at home

This should be an easy win and cover for the Eagles.

 

Baltimore vs L.A. Rams

Spread: Off the Board

This is a great and important matchup. The game should be a good one providing that the stars are allowed to play this week.

Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams

Unfortunately, there is some slight conflicting data in that the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. But head to head against the Ravens they seem to lose a great deal. Take the Ravens at home providing everyone is healthy and playing.

 

New Orleans vs Panthers

Spread: New Orleans -7 at BetUS.com

According to the depth chart listed at the New Orleans’ Saints website, Taysom Hill and Trevor Simien should be back in the lineup this weekend. This should bring the Saints back to form.

The Panthers are still struggling every week to find some consistency at QB. Is this the week they get it together?

Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

This isn’t the strongest of plays on the board but there is clear trend data pointing in the direction of the Panthers. Can they keep it close or win straight up? The trends say they will.

 

Pittsburgh vs Cleveland

Spread: Cleveland -3.5 at Betonline.ag

There isn’t much to say about this one. Just look at the trends.

Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 18-5-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road