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Bills vs. Chargers Free Pick: A Clash of Teams Heading in Different Directions

Scott Morris | December 21, 2023
Josh Allen

Bills’ Dominance in Recent Victory

The Buffalo Bills are entering the upcoming matchup with an 8-6 record, coming off a convincing win against the Cowboys with a final score of 31-10. In this game, quarterback Josh Allen showcased his prowess, completing 7 out of 15 passes for 94 yards and one touchdown, earning a QB rating of 89.3 with no interceptions. The ground game was spearheaded by James Cook, amassing an impressive 179 yards on 25 attempts, averaging 7.2 yards per carry. Stefon Diggs contributed with 48 receiving yards on 4 receptions, boasting an average of 12.0 yards per catch.

Offensive Prowess and Ground Dominance

Buffalo’s ground game was particularly dominant in the recent victory, rushing 49 times for a total of 266 yards, averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. The team ran a total of 65 plays, amassing 351 yards. In terms of defense, the Bills stood firm, permitting 21 completed passes on 34 attempts for a total of 106 yards, reflecting a completion rate of 61.8%. On the rushing front, they yielded 89 yards from 20 attempts, resulting in an average of 4.5 yards per surrendered rush.

Season Overview – Bills’ Offensive and Defensive Stats

For the season, the Bills have accumulated a total of 5,277 yards and secured 166 first downs as a team. However, penalties have been a challenge, with 89 infractions resulting in 746 penalty yards. Buffalo has scored 26 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns, but turnovers have been a concern, with 21 instances (14 interceptions and 7 fumbles). The team maintains an average of 132.3 rushing yards per game, securing a 6th position in the NFL, alongside an average of 27.1 points per game. 

On the defensive front, the Bills hold the 4th rank in the NFL, permitting an average of 18.1 points per game. Opposing teams achieve an average of 4.6 yards per run and 112.2 rushing yards per contest against them. In the passing game, the Bills have conceded 2,809 yards, earning them the 9th rank, with a completion percentage of 65.9%. Overall, they have allowed an average of 312.9 yards per game, positioning them 12th in the league.

Chargers’ Struggles in Recent Loss

In contrast, the Los Angeles Chargers enter the upcoming game with a 5-9 record, coming off a significant loss to the Raiders with a score of 63-21. In this game, starting quarterback Easton Stick completed 23 out of 32 passes for 257 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. The rushing game was led by Isaiah Spiller, gaining 50 yards on 16 attempts. Joshua Palmer stood out as a receiver, amassing 113 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 touchdown.

Season Overview – Chargers’ Offensive and Defensive Stats

Throughout the season, the Chargers have amassed 3,332 passing yards, averaging 238.0 yards per game through the air. Their ground game contributes an additional 95.7 rushing yards per game, reaching a total of 1,340 yards for the year. Despite holding an overall average of 333.7 yards per game, placing them 15th in the league, they face a challenge with penalties. The team has accumulated 643 penalty yards from 69 infractions, ranking them 30th in the league. The Chargers have given away 8 interceptions and 11 fumbles while obtaining 172 first downs.

Defensively, the Chargers have faced challenges, allowing 24 touchdowns through the air and an average of 261.4 passing yards per game, earning them a 30th rank in the league. They have yielded 1,595 rushing yards, averaging 113.9 yards per game, and have conceded 16 rushing touchdowns. Throughout the season, they have given up a total of 345 points. Despite generating 17 takeaways (10 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions), the Chargers’ defense has been on the field for 935 plays, placing them at 31st in the league. They currently allow an average of 24.6 points per game, positioning them 27th in the league.

The Matchup and Outlook

As the Bills prepare to face the Chargers, they bring an 8-6 overall record and a 2-2 divisional record. Their strength lies in home games with a 6-1 record, but they have struggled on the road with a 2-4 record. On the other hand, the Chargers, with a 5-9 overall record and a 1-3 divisional record, have a 2-5 record at home and a 3-4 record on the road. The Bills are riding high on momentum, while the Chargers, dealing with injuries and coaching changes, face challenges.

Looking ahead to the matchup, the Bills appear to be in better form, surging with momentum in their must-win situation for a playoff berth. The Chargers, with a season marred by injuries, recently fired their head coach and general manager, signaling a team in transition. The Bills are favored to cover the spread in this game, taking advantage of the Chargers’ struggles and lack of motivation with a season essentially over.

Spread: Bills -10 ½ (-110) – Chargers +10 ½ (-110)

Money line: Bills -715 – Chargers +515

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