Myles Garrett DPOY and Total Sacks Odds

Myles Garrett has been a force to be reckoned with for years now. The Browns defensive end has wreaked havoc on opposing quarterbacks. He was ready to pack up his gear and take his talents to what he called a “Super bowl contender” until his current team threw the bag at him, offering him $160M for a 4-year extension. This made him the highest paid defensive player in the league.

Currently, he listed tied for 3rd on the odds sheet for Defensive Player of the year for the upcoming season. SportsBetting.ag has him at +800, tied with Aidan Hutchinson of the Lions. Micah Parsons is listed at +700 and Jared Verse is listed at +750. Garrett won the honor in 2023 and plans on repeating; I am sure.

Sportsbook BetUS.com has a prop available if you are confident in Garrett’s upcoming season. 15+ sacks is paying out at +150. His sack totals the last 5 seasons look like this:

2024: 14
2023: 14
2022: 16
2021: 16
2020: 12

As you can see, he hasn’t topped the 15 sack number since 2022. Will Garrett come out and play inspired ball or will he take a step back now that he got the huge payday?

More About Myles Garrett

Myles Garrett is a professional American football defensive end for the Cleveland Browns in the NFL. Born on December 29, 1995, in Arlington, Texas, he played college football at Texas A&M, where he was a standout player, earning All-American honors. Garrett was selected by the Browns as the first overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft. Known for his exceptional athleticism, speed, and pass-rushing ability, he has become one of the league’s premier defensive players. He has earned multiple Pro Bowl selections, All-Pro honors, and the 2023 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award. Off the field, Garrett is recognized for his leadership and community involvement, though he has faced controversy, notably a 2019 on-field altercation resulting in a suspension. As of 2025, he continues to be a cornerstone of the Browns’ defense.

Myles Garrett is tied at #38 on the all-time sacks list with 102.5 sacks. He is tied with Neil Smith and Jim Jeffcoat.

The top three sackers of all time look like this:

Career Sacks Projection Scenarios for Myles Garrett

Assuming Garrett maintains his current level of production and plays until age 35 (through the 2031 season, roughly 6 more seasons), we can estimate:

Conservative Estimate (10 sacks per season): If Garrett averages 10 sacks per season (a dip due to potential injuries or reduced snaps), he’d add 60 sacks (10 sacks × 6 seasons).
Total: 102.5 + 60 = 162.5 sacks.

This would place him around 15th–20th on the NFL’s all-time sack list, based on current rankings.

Moderate Estimate (12.5 sacks per season):

If Garrett maintains an average closer to his career pace (0.88 sacks per game, ~12.5 sacks over 14–15 games per season), he’d add 75 sacks (12.5 × 6).
Total: 102.5 + 75 = 177.5 sacks.

This would rank him in the top 10 all-time, potentially surpassing players like Jared Allen (171.0 sacks).

Optimistic Estimate (14 sacks per season):

If Garrett continues his recent elite production of 14+ sacks per season, he could add 84 sacks (14 × 6).
Total: 102.5 + 84 = 186.5 sacks.

This would place him just outside the top 5, close to legends like Kevin Greene (188.5 sacks).

Best-Case Scenario (chasing the all-time record):

If Garrett plays at an elite level until age 37 (8 more seasons) and averages 14 sacks, he’d add 112 sacks (14 × 8).
Total: 102.5 + 112 = 214.5 sacks.
This would surpass Bruce Smith’s record of 200.0 sacks, though it assumes exceptional durability and consistency.