Is Trump Really Going to Win the Nobel Peace Prize? Betting Odds Included
Scott Morris | July 21, 2025
The Nobel Peace Prize is an international award given annually since 1901 by the Norwegian Nobel Committee to individuals or organizations for outstanding contributions to peace, such as promoting conflict resolution, disarmament, or human rights. Nominated by eligible figures like parliamentarians and academics, winners are selected after a rigorous evaluation and announced in October, with the ceremony held in Oslo on December 10. The prize includes a medal, diploma, and cash award, funded by Alfred Nobel’s estate. Notable laureates include Martin Luther King Jr., Malala Yousafzai, and the United Nations.
Much attention has been given recently to the fact that Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu has officially nominated Donald Trump for the award. Realistically, any leader anywhere can nominate anyone they want. It doesn’t mean the person will win.
People who are in favor of Trump receiving the prize say that he deserves it for his efforts to shut down the Russia-Ukraine conflict as well as the Israel-Palestine conflict. It should be noted that both of those are still ongoing.
A successful peace deal which was brokered by the Trump admin took place in Congo.
The peace deal in Africa brokered by the Trump administration, known as the Washington Accord, was signed on June 27, 2025, in Washington, D.C. It aimed to resolve the decades-long conflict in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) involving Rwanda.
So, what are the odds that the current president, Donald Trump, will win the award come December?
2025 Nobel Peace Prize Award Odds
–listed at BetOnline.ag
Yulia Navalnaya -200
Donald Trump +450
Antonio Guterres +1000
Julian Assange +1000
David Attenborough +1000
International Court of Justice +1200
As you can see, Trump is currently not the favorite, a fact which could change over time. The current favorite is Yulia Navalnaya, born July 24, 1976, in Moscow, and is a Russian economist and public figure, widow of opposition leader Alexei Navalny. Previously a banker, she supported her husband’s anti-corruption and pro-democracy activism, becoming a prominent figure after his 2020 poisoning and 2024 death in prison. She now leads the Anti-Corruption Foundation and chairs the Human Rights Foundation, advocating for a free Russia.
