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Kansas State vs Iowa State Free Pick

Scott Morris | August 20, 2025
Iowa State vs Kansas State free pick in Dublin

The big marquee game for “week 0” of the 2025 college football season will see Iowa State and Kansas State head to Dublin to face off. Oddsmakers currently have the line with Kansas State favored -3 and the total is 50.5 points. You can see a full list of live college football lines here.

Iowa State finished 11-3 overall last season whereas K State finished 9-4. The teams match up very well, but Iowa State is returning 14 starters and KSU is only returning 7 starters.

This game will set the pace for both of these teams for the rest of the season. They are Big 12 rivals, and both are ranked in the AP Top 25 poll. Both teams feature mobile quarterbacks who can get it done on the ground or in the air. ISU QB Rocco Brecht threw for 25 TD’s last season and rushed for another 8 TD’s. KSU QB Avery Johnson also threw for 25 TD’s but rushed for 7 TD’s.

Iowa State boasted the top passing defense in the nation last year, allowing just 150 ypg threw the air. Their rush defense was not very good, however, and allowed 176 ypg. ISU was +7 in turnover ratio whereas KSU was +1.

K State’s secondary struggled against the pass last year (77th in passing yards allowed), and the loss of key defensive backs like Jacob Parrish and Keenan Garber to the transfer portal creates concerns. They also ranked mid-tier in third-down defense and total defense.

In their 2024 matchup, Iowa State beat Kansas State 29-21, running effectively (144 yards) despite K-State’s strong run defense, and controlling the clock. K-State’s passing game was limited, highlighting Iowa State’s secondary strength. The fact that many of the same players who beat KSU will be returning for Iowa State gives the clear edge to Iowa State.

I am taking Iowa State +3 and Iowa State +140 on the moneyline. You can bet this game now at EveryGame.eu from anywhere. You can get a 100% sign-up to $500 Bonus if you go there now.

 

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Football Sharp Action Report

10/3/25

odds by SportsBetting.ag

Delaware -3

MLB Sharp Action Report

10/3/25

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None

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