NFL 2025 Betting: Four Teams That Should Clear Their Regular Season Win Line

The NFL is poised to break out another blockbuster campaign, and there have been several storylines dominating both the offseason and preseason. The Cleveland Browns quarterback carousel is one of them. The Ohio outfit’s depth chart reads like a comedy of errors—six signal-callers vying for snaps in a room so crowded it resembles a Broadway audition gone wrong. Shedeur Sanders may well feel like he can’t catch a break, firstly slipping down to the fifth round of the draft and now fourth on the depth chart, despite impressing in his preseason debut against the Panthers. 

But Cleveland’s quarterback circus isn’t the only drama under center from the offseason. Aaron Rodgers, the four-time MVP who watched his Big Apple tenure crumble like ancient parchment, has found sanctuary in Pittsburgh’s black and gold. Meanwhile, Geno Smith’s surprising migration to Las Vegas has created ripple effects throughout the AFC West that won’t be fully understood until December’s final whistle.

These moves have created betting opportunities that sharp money recognizes but casual bettors overlook. Well, overlook no further as we bring to you four teams that seem well poised to clear their regular-season win totals with aplomb. 

Cincinnati Bengals – 9.5 Wins

The Cincinnati Bengals enter 2025 carrying the weight of two consecutive playoff misses on their shoulders. After racking up nine wins in each of the last two seasons, despite being a million miles away from their best, online live betting sites have slapped a line of 9.5 wins on their head heading into the new campaign. The latest live betting odds at Bovada narrowly favor the “over” selection, pricing at odds of -125 as opposed to -105 for “under.” 

Last season, Joe Burrow’s 4,892 passing yards and 42 touchdowns paced the league, numbers that would have surely seen him secure his maiden MVP award had his supporting cast not failed him. Even so, his attacking arsenal remains as imposing as ever. Ja’Marr Chase claimed the triple crown last season, while his partner in crime, Tee Higgins, forms arguably the league’s deadliest duo. 

Ja’Marr Chase looks ready for a big year

Over 1,325.5 rec yards -130
Over 11.5 rec TDs -110
To have the most rec yards +550
To win OPOY +800

pic.twitter.com/pSJ1Z1Xykm

— Bovada (@BovadaOfficial) July 26, 2025

There remain huge question marks on defence. Cincy looked wide open in their preseason opener against a second and third-string Eagles side. Rookie first-rounder Shemar Stewart should help in plugging that gap, while the continued holdout of Trey Hendrickson needs to be resolved as soon as possible. 

A clean bill of health for Burrow and a retooled supporting cast hint that the Bengals are primed to return to double-digit wins. After consecutive heartbreaks, ten is not just manageable—it’s essential.

Pittsburgh Steelers – 8.5 Wins

Mike Tomlin enters 2025 with a record unblemished by losing seasons, but never before has the pressure needle pointed so sharply at the quarterback position. Enter Aaron Rodgers, ready for a resurgence after a disjointed two-year stint in the Big Apple. 

Despite the doubters, A-Rod still delivered 3,729 passing yards with 28 touchdowns last season, maintaining a top-12 mark in yards per attempt (7.1) and orchestrating elite third-down (41.2%) and red-zone (68.4%) success rates. Perhaps most importantly, he started to look somewhat like the four-time MVP that once shone in Green Bay, albeit less mobile. 

The foundation is as stout as ever. Defensive phenom T.J. Watt comes off a 19-sack campaign, now reinforced by Jalen Ramsey, while Minkah Fitzpatrick prowls the back end. Offensively, the addition of DK Metcalf provides Rodgers a true game-breaking weapon on the perimeter—a combination the Steelers have lacked since the height of the Antonio Brown era.

The Steelers have finished with eight or fewer wins just once in the last decade. We can see them clearing 8.5 once again this season. 

New England Patriots – 8.5 wins

The Patriots’ methodical rebuild under Mike Vrabel is starting to bear fruit—and nowhere is this more apparent than in the selection of first-round tackle Will Campbell. The 6’6”, 325-pound LSU product delivered just two sacks allowed in his final collegiate season, and analysts grade him as an instant-impact lineman thanks to a stellar 93.2 pass-blocking score. Campbell’s arrival cements the left side, giving Drake Maye—who shone in his rookie year after taking the reins from Jacoby Brissett—much-needed security.

Campbell isn’t the only upgrade. Veterans Harold Landry, Carlton Davis, and Morgan Moses bring ferocity and savvy, filling long-standing gaps on both sides of the ball. Paired with Rhamondre Stevenson’s steady ground game and a speed infusion from Stefon Diggs, New England’s offense can finally attack vertically and horizontally—no longer confined to conservative game plans.

The schedule, too, leans favorably. The Jets remain stuck in perpetual rebuild, Miami slips further into disarray, and the Patriots’ 6-2 home mark last season shows they can handle business at Gillette. Nine or more and a return to the playoffs is more than achievable. 

Denver Broncos – 9.5 Wins

Denver’s gamble on Bo Nix—a rookie seen by many as raw—now looks shrewd. Nix quietly pieced together 3,124 yards and 24 TDs in his debut campaign, leading the Broncos back to the postseason for the first time since Peyton Manning’s triumph at Super Bowl 50. Sean Payton’s influence glows through these numbers; his system tailors quick reads and structured shots, traits where Nix made huge late-year strides.

The recipe for more in 2025 is obvious: the offensive line has reloaded, and bruising back J.K. Dobbins (4.6 yards per carry) plugs a crucial hole. On defense, the Mile High outfit had allowed the fewest points in the league last season, providing a solid foundation for Nix and Co. to build upon. 

The AFC West is no longer the Chiefs’ playground. Last year’s Super Bowl drubbing stung, while Las Vegas is starting over, and the Chargers’ inconsistency persists. Early-season games at altitude, where Denver posted a 7-1 mark, give the Broncos a measurable edge out of the gate. Peyton won’t just be thinking of ten wins for the second straight season; he’ll be thinking of a first divisional title in a decade.