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Built to Dominate, Not Collapse: Why Missing the Playoffs Would Be a Ravens Disaster

Samuel Smith | December 15, 2025
Ravens playoff chances 2025 December 15th

The Baltimore Ravens did not enter this season as a wild card hopeful. They were one of the top Super Bowl picks in the league. Seventy-one of 123 national analysts selected Baltimore to win it all. Sportsbooks opened them with +700 odds, placing them even with Kansas City and ahead of Buffalo and Philadelphia. The roster was not just talented, it was championship-caliber.

Now, with under a month left in the season, the Ravens are teetering on the edge of elimination. If this team fails to reach the playoffs, the collapse will be total. And it will be inexcusable.

Early Confidence Has Completely Disappeared

Maryland betting promos launched this season with a surge in Ravens futures. Fans saw this team as a Super Bowl favorite, and they backed it with their wallets. Before Week 1, most local bets were on Baltimore to win the AFC North, the conference, and the Lombardi Trophy. 

But that flood of confidence is gone. After late-season losses and blown leads, public money has dried up. Bettors are moving toward New England, Denver and Buffalo. Lines involving the Ravens have shifted sharply. The team is no longer respected at the window, and fans know it.

 

A Roster Designed to Win Now

There was no mystery about Baltimore’s strategy. They built this team to win immediately. Lamar Jackson was extended, healthy, and given weapons. Derrick Henry was supposed to punish defenses and control tempo. Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, and Mark Andrews were part of a dangerous passing game. 

The defense was experienced and deep, with talent on every level. This was not a developmental year. This was a title push. From the front office down to the locker room, the Ravens were structured to peak in January. Missing the playoffs would make every one of those decisions look like a waste.

 

National Media Bought In Early

Baltimore did not sneak up on anyone. They were the most picked Super Bowl team across nine national outlets. As mentioned before, with 71 of 123 experts placing them at the top, the Ravens were the media’s darling. 

Pundits cited balance, physicality, coaching stability, and Lamar’s upside. They were considered a complete team. Those expectations were not exaggerated. They were based on real strength. 

And the Ravens embraced it. There were no underdog slogans, no process-building soundbites. This team was open about its goal. That is what makes the current position so brutal. This is not what Super Bowl contenders do.

 

Lamar Jackson’s Prime Is Being Wasted

Lamar Jackson is in his physical prime. He is not injured. He is not surrounded by rookies. He has the weapons, the line, the scheme, and the reps. This is the version of Lamar the Ravens dreamed of when they handed him the extension. 

Yet this season is being squandered. The quarterback window is always smaller than teams think. A few years of elite performance can vanish with one injury, one coordinator change, or one missed offseason. This was supposed to be the season everything clicked. If it ends in Week 18, it will be a massive organizational failure.

 

Derrick Henry Didn’t Sign Up for This

Bringing in Derrick Henry in 2024 was not about marketing. It was about closing out games in December and pounding defenses in January. This season, on most games he’s lived up to his end of the bargain, but those performances mean nothing if the team is not playing in the playoffs. 

 

The AFC Is Vulnerable This Year

Kansas City is eliminated. Buffalo has been inconsistent. The Jets are a disaster. Cincinnati lost Joe Burrow for a long period of the time and have played poorly. The AFC has more chaos than clarity, and the Ravens were supposed to take advantage. 

That is what makes this year such a missed opportunity. While the rest of the conference stumbled, Baltimore was healthy and deep. Instead of rising, they are falling with everyone else. This was not just a chance to make the playoffs. It was a chance to dominate a shaky conference and reach the Super Bowl. Now that path is almost gone.

The Ravens did not bring in a new coaching staff. They doubled down on the group that had already shown success. John Harbaugh is one of the longest-tenured coaches in the NFL. 

 

Depth Has Not Turned Into Wins

Every team deals with injuries. The Ravens have had their share, but not more than anyone else. And the front office built this roster with depth in mind. They prepared for setbacks. They signed veterans and kept key backups. But none of that has translated into wins. 

That is what makes this collapse so painful. Baltimore cannot point to a broken roster or a crushed cap. They had the players. They had the insurance. And still, they are on the edge of missing the postseason. The deeper your bench, the fewer excuses you get. This team is out of them.

 

The Defense Has Not Lived Up to Its Identity

This defense was supposed to be among the most versatile in the league. Linebackers could cover. Safeties could blitz. Linemen could rotate. On paper, it was a nightmare for opposing coordinators. But on the field, it has not held. Fourth-quarter collapses, missed tackles, blown zone assignments, and poor red zone numbers have undone that promise. 

If this defense had simply held its own late in games, the Ravens would not be in this position. And yet, when it has mattered most, the unit that was supposed to be elite has broken down. That is not what championship teams are made of.

 

Not Making the Playoffs Would Be a Legacy Failure

If the Ravens miss the playoffs, no one will care about individual stats, Pro Bowl selections, or close losses. This was a Super Bowl team on paper. They were picked by more experts than any other. They were healthy, focused, and aggressive in building their roster. If they do not make it to January football, it will be viewed as one of the biggest collapses in franchise history. 

Not because they were bad. But because they were supposed to be great. The expectations were earned. The opportunity was real. And wasting that would damage everything this team has worked for.

 

 

SBA Minutes

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Sharp Action* Report

12/14/25

odds by SportsBetting.ag

Jags -13.5 (NFL)
Saints +2.5 (NFL)
Rams -5.5 (NFL)
Portland +4.5 (NBA)

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