Super Bowl Odds Update: Seahawks Lead the Board, but the Gap Isn’t That Wide

Now that Wild Card Weekend is mostly in the books, the Super Bowl picture is starting to come into focus, with one important caveat. Houston and Pittsburgh still haven’t played yet, with their wild-card matchup set for Monday night, so there’s still one more result that could shake up the board before the Divisional Round even kicks off.

That said, the market has been pretty clear about one thing: Seattle sits at the top. The Seahawks are the Super Bowl favorite heading into the next round, priced shorter than anyone else after locking up the NFC’s No. 1 seed and getting a rare week off while the rest of the field took punches. Still, I’m not totally sold this Seahawks team has no cracks.

Seattle earned the respect. The defense carried them all season, they handled business late, and the Week 18 win over San Francisco was about as authoritative as it gets. Rest matters in January, especially for a team that leans on its defensive intensity. But being the favorite doesn’t mean being flawless, and Seattle’s home ATS results and early-season stumble against the 49ers still linger in the background.

Right behind them are the Rams, and honestly, their position makes sense. They didn’t look perfect in Carolina, but they survived, and that matters this time of year. The offense has been explosive for over a month now, and even when things get messy, Sean McVay teams tend to settle in rather than unravel. If you’re looking for a team that feels comfortable winning different types of games, Los Angeles checks that box.

The biggest movement, though, came from the AFC. Buffalo and New England both took care of business and saw their odds shorten in a real way. The Bills finally won a road playoff game, and that alone felt like a weight coming off the franchise. Josh Allen didn’t just manage the game — he controlled it. That performance didn’t suddenly make Buffalo invincible, but it reminded everyone why they’re always priced near the top when January rolls around.

New England’s rise is a little quieter, but it’s just as real. The Patriots didn’t need style points against the Chargers. They dictated the game, leaned on defense, and let Drake Maye make solid decisions. That’s usually a good formula for surviving multiple playoff rounds.

Denver and Houston sit in that next tier, dangerous, but still trying to prove they belong with the heavyweights. And Chicago remains the wild card no one really wants to deal with after that fourth-quarter explosion flipped their season in about 15 minutes.

San Francisco’s odds shortened after knocking out the defending champs, but the injury toll is hard to ignore. Getting through Philly was impressive. Getting through the rest of the NFC without key players is a different task.

At this point, the odds board feels less like a runaway favorite and more like a crowded top shelf. Seattle deserves to be there, but the margin between the Seahawks, Rams, Bills, and Patriots isn’t massive. One bad matchup or one flat quarter can make things different fast, and that’s exactly why I love this time of the season so much.

Updated Super Bowl Odds

odds from BetOnline.ag

Seattle Seahawks +295

Los Angeles Rams +325

Buffalo Bills +575

New England Patriots +600

Denver Broncos +800

Houston Texans +1200

Chicago Bears +1600

San Francisco 49ers +1800

Pittsburgh Steelers +4500