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The NBA Trade Deadline Shook Things Up — Here’s How the Title Race Looks Now

Scott Morris | February 6, 2026
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The NBA trade deadline didn’t just reshuffle rosters. It forced everyone to take another look at the championship picture.

Big names flew around the league. Some contenders took part. Others stayed patient. And while no single move completely flipped the board, the overall effect was clear: the gap between teams tightened, especially once the dust settled.

Oddsmakers didn’t panic, but they did adjust. The updated NBA Finals odds reflect a league that suddenly feels less predictable, and a postseason that looks far more open than it did a month ago.

 

Out West, the Favorite Stays Put — but the Margin Feels Thinner

Oklahoma City still sits at the top of the board, and there’s a reason for that. The Thunder have been the most consistent team all season, combining depth, defense, and a calm approach that hasn’t wavered even as other contenders made noise at the deadline.

That said, nothing about the Western Conference feels comfortable. Denver remains a constant problem as long as Nikola Jokić is on the floor, and San Antonio has quietly shown it can give Oklahoma City real trouble. Regular-season matchups don’t guarantee playoff results, but they do leave reminders, and the Spurs have dropped enough to be taken seriously.

The bigger point is this: the Thunder didn’t lose their spot, but they didn’t gain breathing room either.

 

The East Didn’t Crown Anyone — and That’s the Point

If there’s a conference that truly felt the deadline, it’s the East.

Cleveland’s move to bring in James Harden pushed the Cavaliers toward the top of the Eastern odds, not because Harden suddenly turns them into a juggernaut, but because the conference lacks one. The East doesn’t have a team everyone fears, which makes a bold swing matter more.

Boston remains right there as well, buoyed by the expectation that Jayson Tatum will be healthy when it counts. The Celtics didn’t need a splash to stay relevant; they just needed time.

Detroit, New York, and a few others round out the group of teams that feel capable without being overwhelming. The Pistons have results, but little playoff experience. The Knicks, meanwhile, doubled down on defense and depth, adding another defensive-minded guard to a group that already thrives on pressure and pace control.

It’s not about who looks best on paper. It’s about who survives.

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Depth Teams Didn’t Jump — They Lingered

One of the more interesting outcomes of the deadline is how little separation there is in the middle.

Teams like Houston, Minnesota, Philadelphia, and even the Lakers didn’t see dramatic odds swings, but they didn’t fall off either. That’s telling. The market isn’t dismissing them, it’s waiting.

With so many players changing teams, chemistry and injuries loom larger than usual. One hot stretch, one matchup that clicks, or one injury elsewhere can change everything. The odds reflect that uncertainty by keeping a wide group within striking distance.

 

What the Odds Are Really Saying

The updated Finals board isn’t predicting dominance.

Oklahoma City remains the leader. Denver and San Antonio remain threats. Cleveland took a swing. Boston is still waiting in the wings. And a long list of teams is close enough to matter if things break right.

After a deadline like this, a clear picture doesn’t come from one move. It comes from understanding that the race didn’t simplify; it just got tighter.

And that’s exactly what the odds are showing.

 

SBA Minutes

In this section we will post updates and notes about the current betting day/week/season. Check back daily.

Sharp Action* Report

2/6/26

odds by SportsBetting.ag

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