Alabama vs LSU Free Pick
November 6, 2019
The biggest game of the weekend is by far the LSU at Alabama game. Not only is this a conference rivalry, this is the match-up of the ranked #1 LSU (polls) vs the #1 Alabama (odds).
The game is scheduled for Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 3:30 pm EST. The location is Bryant-Denny Stadium in Alabama. The point spread currently has Alabama favored by 6 points and the total is 64 points. The public is fairly split on betting. 55% of the money is on LSU thus far.
Head to Head
These two teams play each other every year, so there is definitely a history. Alabama has owned LSU. The Crimson Tide are are 8-2 straight up in the last ten meetings. Against the spread Alabama is 5-4-1 against LSU. Alabama has won the last five meetings in row.
Team Stats
Alabama is averaging 48 PPG on offense and allowing just 15 PPG. They accomplish this tremendous scoring with a very balanced attack. They pass for 338 yards per game and rush for another 168 yards per game. On defense they allow just 180 passing and 127 rushing.
LSU scores 46 PPG and allows 20 PPG. The Tigers are also very balanced and pass for 377 yards per game and rush for 158. They allow 217 YPG passing and only 97 YPG rushing.
Betting
Alabama is 4-4 against the spread this season. The Over has hit in 5 out of their 8 games. They are 3-3 ATS at home. The Over hit in just 2 of those 6 games.
LSU is 5-2-1 ATS. They are 3-0 ATS away from home this year. The Over has hit 2 out of the 3 games they have played away from home.
Alabama is 4-1-1 against the spread vs LSU in its last 6 match-ups. The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Word on the Street
Word from several online sportsbooks is that the sharps have been betting the Under. There is no word on any sharp action on the side as of this moment.
Tua’s health remains a question mark.
Players
QB Tua Tagovailoa has been listed as questionable for this game. The Heisman candidate has been dealing with injury and missed the last game. But there is little doubt from us that he will be playing.
LSU starting outside LB Michael Divinity quit the team earlier this week. He is leaving for “personal reasons”. He had 23 tackles and 3 sacks for the Tigers this year.
Our Thoughts
The old saying “You got to beat the man to be the man” comes to mind in this game. Alabama has ruled this rivalry. The Tigers are playing great football behind Heisman candidate Joe Burrow and have a stellar defense. But, can they go into Alabama and beat the Tide? I want to say yes. But, when I look at the stats and trends they all point to Alabama. Alabama is a TD better than LSU on a neutral site. Factor in the home field and Alabama should be able to win by a TD or more. We can picture a slug-em-out type of game where Alabama is able to outpace LSU at the very end. Bet this game now at any one of the top ranked sportsbooks.
