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Baseball Game Preview and Free Pick, April 16, 2010

Washington Nationals (4-5) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4-5)
J. Lannan, Was. (1-1, 8.31) vs. Y. Gallardo, Mil. (0-2, 6.75)The reason we are picking the Nationals in this one is value. Betting baseball is totally different than betting other sports. In football and basketball betting, you look for the team that will win or cover and you try to guess by how much.  Baseball betting is a marathon and not a sprint. There is less emphasis on each and every game and more on the big picture and simply picking more right than wrong.  Also, we suggest staying away from monster favorites (ex. -280).So with this said, are we convinced Washington will beat the Brewers tonight?  No.  Are we convinced they will lose? No. But the value is in the money line.  Washington is at home starting their best pitcher and coming off a win at Philly.  The Brewers are also coming off a win at Chicago Cubs but they lost the series 1-2.  Both teams are 4-5.   We just feel that Washington at home +140 is too good to pass up.
Betting underdogs in baseball is where the value is. You could bet nothing but underdogs the entire season and win less than half of your games and still make a profit.

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AP Top 25 College Football Poll

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AP TeamW/LSeason StartLive Odds
1Ohio State1-0+675+575
2Penn State1-0+700+600
3LSU1-0+1200+800
4Georgia1-0+650+650
5Miami FL1-0+2800+1200
6Oregon2-0+1200+1600
7Texas0-1+600+700
8Clemson0-1+850+1600
9Notre Dame0-1+1000+1800
10South Carolina1-0+6600+6600
11Illinois1-0+15000+15000
12Arizona St.1-0+12500+12500
13Florida1-0+3300+3300
14Florida State1-0+8000+6600
15Michigan1-0+3300+3300
16Iowa State2-0+20000+20000
17SMU1-0+10000+10000
18Oklahoma1-0+4000+2800
19Texas A&M1-0+3300+3300
20Ole Miss1-0+4000+4000
21Alabama0-1+900+1800
22Tennessee1-0+6600+8000
23Indiana1-0+12500+12500
24Texas Tech1-0+10000+12500
25Utah1-0+4000+8000