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Cowboys Cardinals

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. EDT

Line: Dallas -7, Total: 45.5

This Christmas night, bettors can witness two pre-season favorites play each other for a game that means very little. The 5-9 Dallas Cowboys have been playing good games, winning four of six and going 5-1 ATS since Jason Garrett took over for Wade Phillips as interim head coach. The Arizona Cardinals have been terrible recently, going 1-8 SU (2-7 ATS) in their past nine games.

Despite quarterback Tony Romo missing the majority of the 2010 NFL season, the Cowboys offense has not really been affected with back-up Jon Kitna taking over. Kitna is averaging 250 passing YPG with 15 touchdowns in nine contests. He has also tossed 10 interceptions, but only three in his past five games. The running game has also kicked into gear, averaging 140.3 YPG in the six games since Garrett took over. Another area the team has been great at in is turnovers. The Cowboys have forced at least two turnovers in all six games under Garrett, posting an impressive +9 margin (16 for, 7 against).

The putrid three-headed quarterback carousel of Derek Anderson, Max Hall and John Skelton is still looking horrible. Skelton has played the past three games, but has yet to throw a touchdown, completing just 46% of his passes (35-for-76). Arizona has four consecutive sub-200-yard passing games. The ground game has also been a disaster. Even with the 211 yards they posted against Denver’s horrendous run defense, the Cardinals have averaged only 81 rushing YPG in their past seven games.

Including playoffs, these teams have met 12 times since 1999, with an even 6-6 SU split. Dallas covered in two of its losses to take an 8-4 ATS advantage. These two NFL betting trends expect Arizona to cover the NFL point spread on Saturday night.

DALLAS is 4-20 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.

The average score was DALLAS 17.8, OPPONENT 19.8 – (Rating = 3*).

Ken Whisenhunt is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game as the coach of ARIZONA. The average score was ARIZONA 30.9, OPPONENT 23.6 – (Rating = 3*).

Oddsmakers give six-star and five-star reasons for online sports bettors to take the Over:

DALLAS is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf this season. The average score was DALLAS 28.0, OPPONENT 30.5 – (Rating = 6*).

DALLAS is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored this season. The average score was DALLAS 26.4, OPPONENT 29.8 – (Rating = 5*).

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