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Lakers at Warriors – NBA Free Pick

Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:30 p.m. EDT

Line: Los Angeles -5.5, Total: 202

The Los Angeles Lakers are coming off two straight home losses and tonight the must travel to meet the Golden State Warriors.

Los Angeles has beaten Golden State 12 times in a row SU, including six straight in Oakland. L.A. struggled shooting the ball during its two-game slide (losses to Denver and Utah), scoring just 87.5 PPG while shooting 40.4% from the field and 21.1% from three. Kobe Bryant (24.0 PPG in those two defeats) shot just 35.6% from the field in the losses.

This game against the Warriors could change things for Los Angeles since during their 12-game winning streak against the Warriors, the Lakers have averaged an absurd 119.3 PPG while shooting 49.5% from the field. Bryant’s 45.7% shooting from the field (27.7 PPG) in those games has been the low mark. Pau Gasol (23.5 PPG on 61.4% shooting, 11.7 RPG), Andrew Bynum (15.0 PPG on 54.7% shooting, 10.0 RPG) and Lamar Odom (14.8 PPG on 53.5% shooting, 11.5 RPG) have all put up monster numbers against Golden State. Gasol and Bynum might not make it with knee injuries and it has been reported that both will play tonight.

The Warriors are 24-14 SU (20-18 ATS) at home this year, and they’re coming off an outstanding 21-point road win in Portland on Tuesday. David Lee, acquired in the off-season, has been a mild disappointment for bettors this season, but he delivered 29 points and a season-high 20 rebounds against the Blazers. Prior to that victory, they beat another of the Western Conference’s elite on Saturday, topping Dallas 99-92 at home. In those two wins, Monta Ellis scored 31.0 PPG and shot 56.4% from the field and 57.1% (8-of-14) from three-point range.

The Warriors also gave L.A. A fight when the teams met in Oakland in January. Golden State led by six after three quarters before the Lakers blitzed them in the fourth (outscoring them 46-35) in a 115-110 L.A. win.

Considering each team’s performance over the past two games, as well as the fact that the Warriors have been tough at home all year, oddsmakers are pointing towards Golden State.

Play On – Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) – after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games. (71-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.3%, +34.7 units. Rating = 3*).

Golden State +5.5