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MLB Baseball Bet June 4, 2011

Philadephia at Pittsburgh

June 4, 7:05 PM | Grass of PNC Park

The Philadelphia Phillies head to the Western part of Pennsylvania to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Phillies come in with a solid record (34-23) and play the Pirates who are right under .500 at (27-29).  The Pirates usually are already thinking of packing it up this time of year but are only 5.5 games back in the division.  Both teams have been profitable on the money line this year. The Phillies have clear over $250 on a standard $100 Moneyline and the Pirates twice that with around $550.

Baseball matchups are all about pitching.  Philadelphia’s K. Kendrick (3-3, 3.18) takes on Pittsburgh’s C. Morton (5-2, 2.51).  This will be a good matchup. Except for the win/loss differential these teams have very equal stats all the way around.  We are almost tempted to recommend the Pirates at home here but just cannot do that. I am leaning toward a small play on the Phillies with Kendrick on the mound. Currently Philly is -120 on the moneyline, just very slight favorites.

TOP 3/BOTTOM 3

PHILLIES
Phillies are the second highest scoring team in the league at 4.8 runs per game.
Phillies are third best in the league in times striking out with 6.6 per game.
Phillies give up the fewest free passes in the league allowing 2.6 per game.

PIRATES
Pirates are lowest scoring team in the league at 3.6 runs per game.
Pirates trail the league in hits with 8.0 per game.
Pirates are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.9 per game.
Pirates are the easiest team to score on in the league, giving up 5.3 runs per game.
Pirates have the worst hits allowed in the league, allowing 9.7 per game.
Pirates trail the league in K’s with 6.3 per game.

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