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NFL Week 9 Opening Lines – Analysis & Early Picks

November 3, 2020
2020 Week 9 NFL Picks

There is a lot of hub bub on every betting site today about the Presidential election. We say F that. Let’s stick to sports. In this article we are going to go over what the opening NFL lines are and we are going to post the lines that we came up with before the actual lines were posted. Then compare the two and try to extrapolate a few picks from it.

In the table below we are listing the opening line, the lines that we independently generated in the office and then discuss if there is a pick to be made.

Check out the table below and then below that you can see a list of early leans based on the results of the information table:

GameOfficial LineOur LinePick
SF vs GBGB -5GB -14*YES
BUF vs SEASEA -2.5BUF PickYES
ATL vs DENATL -4ATL -4.5NO
TEN vs CHITEN -5.5TEN -5.5NO
MIN vs DETMIN -4MIN -3NO
IND vs BALBAL -3BAL -3NO
KC vs CARKC -10.5KC -13YES
JAX vs HOUHOU -6.5HOU -4.5YES
WAS vs NYGWAS -3NYG -3YES
LAC vs LVRLAC -1.5LVR -3.5YES
DAL vs PITPIT -14.5PIT -15NO
ARZ vs MIAARZ -4.5ARZ -6.5YES
TB vs NOTB -5.5TB -3YES
NYJ vs NENE -7NE -10YES

Leans Based on Above Info:

  • Green Bay -5*
  • Buffalo +2.5
  • KC -10.5
  • JAX +6.5 (Buy the point to make it +7.5)
  • LVR +1.5
  • ARZ -4.5
  • NO +5.5
  • NE -7

Analysis:

*SF vs GB: The 49ers are without starting QB Jimmy Garappolo and stud TE George Kittle. The Packers have issues of their own. Their RB AJ Dillon tested positive for Corona and will be out. There may be other players who will test positive between now and Thursday. But one thing is for sure, SF’s starting QB and all-star TE are definitely out. Packers still looking good as of right now. Note: We did not know about the Covid tests before we chose our 14 point line. I would still hang a 7 or 8 on it.

BUF vs SEA: Buffalo is at home, getting points for the first time in ages and they will be looking to get this important win to prove they are for real. If Russel Wilson doesn’t have a perfect day, the Seahawks lose. I am betting against a perfect day.

KC vs CAR: KC is a beast. Carolina has been playing inspired ball but traveling across the country and trying to hang with the defending SB champions will be much too much for the upstart Panthers.

JAX vs HOU: I loathe putting money on Jax. But the line here seems a bit big. If you take Jax this week you are betting on a team that is at home (where they beat Indy), who is getting a TD+ (buy the point), against a team that has the same identical win/loss record (and is pretty bad). Seems like a solid wager.

LAC vs LVR: The Raiders are solid. The Chargers are not. Enough said.

ARZ vs MIA: Miami is starting a QB who still has his training wheels on. Arizona’s offense is too good to be stifled by the Miami D (like the Rams just were). Miami has a few question marks. Arizona really doesn’t.

NYJ vs NE: Cam Newton and his Patriots are struggling big-time. What better way to start a come-back trail than to beat up on the worst team in the league (and its not even close).

If you like any of these picks, check out the top sportsbook bonuses. You may see something in there you like as well.

 

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