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Notre Dame vs USC Betting Preview and Angles

October 12, 2019
Notre Dame vs USC free pick

Tonight at 7:30 pm EST on NBC, USC is at Notre Dame to do battle with the 9th ranked Fighting Irish. The point spread has Notre Dame favored by -10.5 points and the total is 59 points. These two teams play one another every year as part of a long standing tradition. They are not conference foes, just old time rivals.

Why to Bet Notre Dame

  • Notre Dame is ranked 9th in the nation and has only one loss. That loss came to #3 ranked Georgia. USC has lost to BYU and Washington.
  • Notre Dame is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games.
  • Notre Dame is also 4-1 ATS in last 5 when playing USC at home.
  • USC is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.

Why to Bet USC

  • Public bettors are on Notre Dame with 77% of tickets (William Hill US).
  • Public bettors are on Notre Dame with 74% of the cash (William Hill US).

You can clearly see that the game trends directly conflict with the ATP play. But the play to bet in this game may not be the side at all. Let’s take a look at the game total of 59 points.

  • Here at SBA, we had this total at 54 points before the lines were released at sportsbooks.
  • The total has gone Under in 8 of the last 12 games that Notre Dame has played at home.
  • The total has gone Under in 7 of the last 10 games that USC has played on the road.
  • The total was issued at 56.5 and has been inflated to 59.

There is no conflicting information when it comes to betting this under. It is a smart play.

 

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