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New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
Sunday November 15 at 8:20 PM ETby Joel Schmidt – SportsbookAdvisor.comThe New England Patriots (6-2) travel to Lucas Stadium to take on the undefeated Indianapolis Colts tonight at 8:20 PM ET (NBC).  The Patriots play to end the Colts’ perfect run and a 17 game regular season (and 10 home game) winning streak.  The Colts play to maintain dominance and stay unbeaten before traveling to Baltimore next weekend.  It will be Brady vs. Manning in a battle between two of the ACF’s (and NFL’s) best.Look at the stats, and you’ll see that there isn’t much that separates the Patriots and Colts.  The Colts have the number 1 passing offense; The Patriots have number 2.
 Detroit Lions v Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have been giving up 13.5 points per game; the Patriots about 14.5.  Since ’04, the two teams have an even number of wins and losses against each other.  This game might go to whichever team can get at the other’s QB.  Anything can happen in a game like this, but expect a home-field, and slight statistical advantage, to make the difference.  Take a look at the numbers and decide for yourself.

New England Spread Stats:
New England is 4-2 ATS in last 6 games
Total has gone under in 5 of last 7 games
New England is 15-8 ATS in last 23 road games
New England is 15-4 SU in last 19 road games
Total has gone under in 4 of 5 last road games
New England is 1-4 ATS in last 5 games against Indianapolis
New England is 15-6 SU in last 21 games against IndianapolisIndianapolis Spread Stats:
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in last 7 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in last 5 games
Total has gone under in 7 of their last 10 games
Indianapolis is 4-10 ATS in last 14 home games
Indianapolis is 5-0 in last 5 home games
Indianapolis is 2-15-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone under in 9 of Indianapolis’s last 13 games at home against New EnglandPick: Take Indianapolis -3 and UNDER 48.5 at home.  They win and cover…but only by a few points.