sugar bowl betting 2011

The place: The Louisiana Superdome.
The date: January 4, 2011.
The time: 8:20 PM EST.

What: The Ohio State Buckeyes will be facing off against the high powered offense of the Arkansas Razorbacks. Both teams represent the best aspect of college football, high potency offense! Arkansas averages over 37 points per contest and Ohio State averages just a smidgen under 40 points per game. Both teams matchup against one another very evenly. One major difference between these teams though is Ohio State has an amazing rush defense and allows less than 100 yards rushing per game. Terrel Pryor 2010
Arkansas has lost two games this year and Ohio State only one. But the conference strengths are much different. The SEC is, and has been the last 10 years, the dominant conference in football. They benefit from a huge payer pool and “wide open fly high”offenses. The lowest team in the SEC can beat anybody in the country any given day. The same cannot be said for the “Bog Ten”. Indiana and Northwestern, for example, cannot compete on a national stage and get crushed regularly in their own conference.

Ohio State is favored by a FG in this game. Based on what we have seen in years past everyone is expecting Arkansas to come out and lay the wood and get a small upset here. But I am not so sure. This Ohio State team is loaded with speed. And the talent level is very high. I can see Ohio State coming out there tonight and setting an example of what to expect from the Big 10 for years to come.

So with that said my money is on Ohio State to win and cover the spread. Here are some stats that are available for this matchup:

Team records:
Arkansas: 10-2 SU, 9-2 ATS
Ohio State: 11-1 SU, 9-2-1 ATS

Arkansas most recently:
When playing in January are 2-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When an underdog on the road are 3-7

Ohio State most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When favored at home are 10-0

A few trends to consider:
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas’s last 7 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State’s last 6 games