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USC vs Notre Public Betting Play

Scott Morris | November 24, 2018
atp pick usc vs nd

Tonight’s USC vs Notre Dame game is the marquee game of the night for sure. Besides being the rivalry game that people love to bet every year, this year it has championship implications for at least one of the teams.

Notre Dame is 11-0 and ready to win this game and get into the playoffs for their shot at a national championship. USC is only 5-6 and would love to play spoiler to Notre Dame’s championship hopes.

Beside the very strong circumstances that support a USC cover, which we wrote about over at Free Picks USA, there exists the lopsided public betting numbers. It seems that the general public thinks that USC has no chance at covering this game. And they for sure don’t think they can win outright.

According to several online publications (as well as our sportsbook contacts), the public is on Notre Dame -11/-12 to the tune of 82% combined. That is massively lopsided betting. This fits right into the ATP (Against the Public) mold. Simply put, if the game meets certain factors, it is a great betting opportunity. Here are those factors:

  1. Well publicized matchup. One that intrigues even causal fans/sports bettors.
  2. Prime time game (where most fans will be downing a few and watching the game). This insures plenty of “Joe Public” types betting on the game.
  3. Over all total money and tickets are on one team at 70% or higher.

The theory behind this strategy is simple. Sportsbooks make money and the public loses (in the long run). And sportsbooks make large chunks of money on games that are lopsided and well publicized. This doesn’t mean that it is a guaranteed win. But, if you play the right ATP plays, you will end up winning more than you lose. Take USC +12 and if you are feeling froggy take 10% of that bet and put it on USC +400. Bet this pick at the top sportsbooks online and get a good sign on bonus. Use that bonus for your straight up bet.

SBA Minutes

In this section we will post updates and notes about the current betting day/week/season. Check back daily.

Football Sharp Action Report

9/3/25

odds by SportsBetting.ag

None

MLB Sharp Action Report

9/3/25

odds by SportsBetting.ag

None

 

AP Top 25 College Football Poll

with Odds from SportsBetting.ag (Signup now for $250 in free bets)

AP TeamW/LSeason StartLive Odds
1Ohio State1-0+675+575
2Penn State1-0+700+600
3LSU1-0+1200+800
4Georgia1-0+650+650
5Miami FL1-0+2800+1200
6Oregon2-0+1200+1600
7Texas0-1+600+700
8Clemson0-1+850+1600
9Notre Dame0-1+1000+1800
10South Carolina1-0+6600+6600
11Illinois1-0+15000+15000
12Arizona St.1-0+12500+12500
13Florida1-0+3300+3300
14Florida State1-0+8000+6600
15Michigan1-0+3300+3300
16Iowa State2-0+20000+20000
17SMU1-0+10000+10000
18Oklahoma1-0+4000+2800
19Texas A&M1-0+3300+3300
20Ole Miss1-0+4000+4000
21Alabama0-1+900+1800
22Tennessee1-0+6600+8000
23Indiana1-0+12500+12500
24Texas Tech1-0+10000+12500
25Utah1-0+4000+8000