Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Preview and Point Spread

The Miami Dolphins couldn’t afford to keep their defensive talent from last season. As a result, many of their best players hit the road leaving behind pseudo-JV players to start. Miami dug itself into a deep financial hole with some over-priced contracts. First, they signed Tua to a 4 year, $212M extension. They brought in Bradley Chubb a few years ago and agreed to pay him $54 over 3 years. Tyreek Hill is also getting a king’s ransom for sub-par play. These contracts were questionable at best.

What you have now is a gutted Miami team with over-paid “stars” that have possibly one of the worst teams in the NFL. They are 0-2 after getting crushed in Indianapolis and getting beat at home by a bad Patriots team that tried to hand them the game over and over.

Miami travels to Buffalo this Thursday where in all likelihood, they will be in for a severe beatdown. When the spread came out for this one prior to Sunday, sportsbooks had Buffalo -10.5 points. I thought to myself “this line ain’t going to last long”. I was right. Surprisingly, the line has inched back down to Buffalo -11.5 after going up as high as -13. What gives?

Buffalo is hitting on all cylinders. After the miracle comeback against Baltimore in week 1, the Bills easily dispatched of the Jets this past Sunday. By most accounts, Buffalo is the best team in the league. And they are playing one of the worst teams in the league at home.

Sportsbooks are reporting that Buffalo is receiving 58% of tickets and a whopping 83% of the action. The only surprise for me is that they are not receiving more tickets.

The Dolphins have lost their last 6 against Buffalo and 13 of the last 14. Buffalo is Miami’s daddy, and everyone knows it. Back in November, Miami was in Buffalo and kept the game very interesting. They only lost by 3 points (27-30). But Buffalo is even better now, and Miami is much worse.

The only chance Miami has here is if Buffalo turns the ball over, and I mean a lot of turnovers. Miami will have to play perfect football as well. If Buffalo has 4+ turnovers to Miami’s zero turnovers and the offense strings together for 4 or 5 touchdowns they have a shot. But odds are against this happening. In reality, Buffalo is running on all cylinders and should crush Miami on Thursday Night primetime.

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