Archive for the ‘Betting Strategy’ Category.

A Week 1 NFL Betting Strategy

September 2, 2019

Betting on week 1 of NFL action can be a challenge for various reasons. Most of the teams have had roster changes in the offseason. The teams you will see on Sunday will barely resemble the teams you watched in the pre-season. Many sports bettors don’t take real time and effort to study the teams […]

Only Wager When You Have a Distinct and Definitive Advantage

August 20, 2019

“I’m going to the casino today. Hope I break even. I need the money“ -Typical Gambler   Here’s what I see. You should also.   Only wager on sports in which you know you have a distinct advantage. Most of the public does not have self-control, and should view gambling as entertainment and not as a business. […]

Break Even Point for Sports Betting

May 6, 2019

The question of what is the break even point for sports betting appears from time to time. Although there are many variables that would change the final answer, there is a widely accepted answer based on the standard -110 odds in which point spread betting in associated. The answer is you must win 52.38% of […]

Sportsbooks About Even Heading Into Sweet 16

March 27, 2019

Sportsbooks are happy to make their vig on the large action received on the NCAA Tournament. But a sportsbook can win more or even lose money on the tournament if the action is not well balanced. There will be the occasional game on which the public action is very lopsided. Even after moving the money […]

Florida vs LSU Basketball Free Pick

March 5, 2019

Wednesday night has a great basketball matchup for SEC basketball fans. #10 LSU is visiting conference rival Florida. The current spread has Florida favored by 1.5 points. The total is 138.5 points. The key to this game is to be able to figure out how each team will play based on the circumstances as they […]

Two NBA Picks for Sunday

January 26, 2019

We are isolating two games to review and give our official pick. It’s that time of the year where we start dedicating more time to handicapping the NBA (as well as college hoops). Football, sadly, has one real game left. College hoops has two months and the NBA has infinity (it seems like that anyway). […]

Early Season Winning Angles

September 11, 2018

Today, let’s look at some fundamentals that may seem basic, but often are overlooked. I. Getting Caught Up with Personal Winning and Losing Streaks: Big losers sometimes get lucky, and those who’ve been successful, will have days that they would rather forget. a) When things are going well: I’ve met many gamblers who’ve gotten lucky […]

NCAA Basketball Championship Free Picks

April 2, 2018

Tonight is the national championship game for men’s collegiate basketball. Villanova takes on Michigan in what looks to be a great matchup. Two different styles of play will be featured on the hard court tonight. Michigan plays a more ball control game consisting of solid defense and strong inside play. Villanova is a scoring machine […]

Final Four Pick – Fade the Public

March 29, 2018

The public is 0-2 in this tournament as far as heavily lopsided, well-known teams playing one another goes. That means we are 2-0 playing against the public. There are three games left in the college basketball season. Two semi-finals games and the final one of course. Saturday the Final Four tips off at 6:09 pm […]

NCAA Tournament First Round ATP Picks

March 14, 2018

Against the Public (ATP) Betting Philosophy: The betting public is often more wrong than they are right on well publicized games. The idea is to isolate the real ATP plays and use them to your advantage. In this post I will look over the current public betting trends for round one of the NCAA basketball […]